Is Sucker Punch reliable enough?

Question

So, I want to play Mega Absol, but everywhere I look, everyone runs Sucker Punch on their Absol. I'm no good at predictions, so Sucker Punch doesn't seem like that smart of a choice. My Absol currently looks like this:
Absol @ Absolite
Ability: Super Luck / Magic Bounce
Jolly Nature
EVs: 4 HP / 252 Attack / 252 Speed
Swords Dance
Sucker Punch
Psycho Cut
Night Slash

It feels wrong to include Sucker Punch with it being so dependant on my predictions, so I kind of want to try giving Absol Flamethrower or Fire Blast for coverage instead. What should I do?

EDIT: This Absol is being used for OU play. Feel free to recommend changes in nature as well, as I know Absol's current nature wouldn't support giving him Fire Blast or Flamethrower for coverage.

Comments

First off, don't give a special with that nature. Second, use sucker punch on Pokemon that look like sweepers. IDK what else to tell you so I wont make an answer

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What format?

Answer 1

I would say that yes, Sucker Punch is reliable enough to use, especially on Mega Absol. Magic Bounce greatly limits the opponent's non-offensive options, oftentimes forcing them to use an attacking move if they don't want to have their move bounced back. It only really leaves you vulnerable to bulky set-up sweepers, so you should make sure that other members on your team have ways to deal with them.