What are my chances of finding a shiny with chain of 40 if I have sixty max repels?

Question

Im just wondering what the chance of finding a at least one shiny is if I keep resetting the radar until my repels run out.

Answer 1

0.5% Chance

P(shiny) = (14,747 - 40 n) / (2,621,440 (41 - n))

P(shiny) = chance of a shiny
n = length of the chain

---

Chain length: 40
Shiny Chance: 0.5%

Answer 2

It would be the same chance as regular chaining, but the Max Repels would simply eliminate the chance of your chain being broken by random wild encounters. Also, the chance of finding a Shiny goes up 0.5% every five encounters from forty.

Comments

Well what I meant was my chances of finding a shiny if I keep resetting the pokeradar until my repels run out.