Question

What is the chance of a sleeping Pokemon waking up ?

Answer 1

33%

In gen VI, a Pokémon may stay asleep for 1-3 turns, which means there is a 1/3 (33%) chance of a Pokémon waking up on the first turn, the second and the third.

Source

Comments

source?

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So that means it's most likely to wake up on the third?